If I had to list every single worldwide problem right now, Trump would be connected to at least 80% of that list

I can see a situation where his bombing campaign fails to achieve the objective, a special operation like in Venezuela fails, and Hegseth or Rubio or someone (Putin? Netanyahu? Kanye?) convinces him to invade long enough that inertia carries it forward.

Of course, anything we do is going to take us to the same result we've seen with all these interventions. The US military and whatever allies join us will be, broadly speaking, terrifyingly effective at achieving their tactical and operational goals, but because the overall strategic plan is somewhere between non-existent and backwards those successes will fail to actually do anything. We will inflict and suffer that much more death and devastation, and all it will accomplish is making the world less stable and less safe for everyone.

Yeah, I probably should have included a warning about incoming psychic damage on that link. Sorry.

Although highlighting the phrase "intelligence displacement" does illuminate that the whole case they make is built on the same foundations as that other Rat fixation: eugenics and race science! Like, I'm not saying the author is definitely a eugenicist breaking out the skull calipers, but their argument is based on the same idea of what "intelligence" is in the first place. It's a distinct commodity that is produced or contained in certain minds and is the ultimate source of the value that they create. If you're a "knowledge worker" you don't provide a specific perspective, experience, expertise, or even knowledge, you just plug your intelligence into the organization like connecting a new processor bank to a server farm. Because it's disconnected from a person's individuality and subjectivity we can model it effectively as a commodity and look to optimize its production, either by automating away the squishy human element with ai or by increasing the productivity of current methods by optimizing for the white "right" kind of person.

Latest batch of Anthropic nonsense dropped http://youtube.com/post/UgkxzQmoMujNPQ6rLLGfrXxI67pGVSJrpu9J

OT: since computer stuff is a gong show, I am strongly considering going back to school for massage therapy.

Ran across https://406.fail/ and had a chuckle.

ah, "acculturation" on lobste.rs where a 2-month old account feels free to mouth off on a mod for not doing their job (possibly because the mod uses a feminine-coded handle?) and praise HN as an alternative

https://lobste.rs/c/ltffae

I've noticed that the reference to "garden party" is the tone-policing term of choice for lobsters fash to shut down uncomfortable discussions

Turns out Google Gemini will let you use any old Google API key from things like maps and firebase to access it. So, baddies can do key scanning in public repos and then charge LLM usage to anyone who has committed an API key to their repo!

So many layers of stupidity going on here!

https://trufflesecurity.com/blog/google-api-keys-werent-secrets-but-then-gemini-changed-the-rules

@fullsquare> a segment of that anti-americanism was funded by sales of iranian oil. not all of course, but houthis wouldn’t be a thing without it, or large parts of hezbollahThis is a bit like saying certain human rights orgs only exist because Soros funds them via OSF, or that the Hong Kong protests only happened because of NED/ OTF funding. In all these cases I suspect authentic movements are funded when their activities happen to align with funders' current goals.@aninjury2all @Ardubal

@BigMuffN69 @Amoeba_Girl I think a sentient system (1) has a memory of experience (2) uses that updating memory to color the signal from its sensorium on a partial order and (3) takes action seeking better outcomes on that partial order. Evolution would favor (3) aligning with being healthy, cautious, and successful at reproduction but that’s outside the definition.

Ran into these two videos today:
AI Crash Report: The Money Furnace,
AI Crash Report: The Physics of the Collapse.

Full of generated images, but seems to carry a good message.

I like how even by ACX standards scoot's posts on AI are pure brain damage

One level lower down, your brain was shaped by next-sense-datum prediction - partly you learned how to do addition because only the mechanism of addition correctly predicted the next word out of your teacher’s mouth when she said “three plus three is . . . “ (it’s more complicated than this, sorry, but this oversimplification is basically true). But you don’t feel like you’re predicting anything when you’re doing a math problem. You’re just doing good, normal mathematical steps, like reciting “P.E.M.D.A.S.” to yourself and carrying the one.

The most compelling analogy: this is like expecting humans to be “just survival-and-reproduction machines” because survival and reproduction were the optimization criteria in our evolutionary history. [...] This simple analogy is slightly off, because it’s confusing two optimization levels: the outer optimization level (in humans, evolution optimizing for reproduction; in AIs, companies optimizing for profit) with the inner optimization level (in humans, next-sense-datum prediction; in AIs, next-token prediction). But the stochastic parrot people probably haven’t gotten to the point where they learn that humans are next sense-datum predictors, so the evolution/reproduction one above might make a better didactic tool.

He also threatens an Anti-Stochastic-Parrot FAQ.

Here's hoping if this happens Bender et al enthusiastically point out this is coming from a guy whose long term master plan is to fight evil AI with eugenics. Or who uses the threat of evil AI to make eugenics great again if they are feeling less charitable.

@Amoeba_Girl even better news, it requires no references outside of 90- and 75-year-old results in theoretical computer science! nobody since Rice has made any progress on this important problem.

@BigMuffN69 Thomas Metzinger (“Being No-One: The Self-Model Theory of Subjectivity”, 2004) also argues representational capacity is required for consciousness, but in a much more principled manner and with many examples, at length. I notice they don’t reference that book, or indeed any book that’s younger than 75 years old. ¯_(ツ)_/¯

it’s more complicated than this, sorry, but this oversimplification is basically true

Wait so it isnt true and it is true? Nice to notice your own confusion/reluctance (yeah im a broken record on the Rationalists not doing Rationalism) Also weird way to teach math. This makes me wonder if he understands math at all.

Edit sneer

He also threatens an Anti-Stochastic-Parrot FAQ.

So, he is a crypto Stochastic Parrot?

If only it was a gong show. It's more like shoveling coal into a dead horse and expecting a locomotive to spring forth

@BigMuffN69 @Amoeba_Girl My old thermostat ran a feedback loop with a bimetallic strip and a mercury switch. Was it sentient? It was certainly more reliable than an LLM.

This feels really sad to read through on some level. So much desperation for connection with someone and willingness to take the psychic-style tricks in good faith as her messages get not only repeated back to her, but rephrased in an obsequiously helpful tone! but I can't deny the willingness to get chatty about configuration details, private APIs, and what's on the second monitor as soon as the coding assistant gets into flirting mode is hilarious.

Truly, the tech industry seeks to close the gap not by increasing the capabilities of AI but by diminishing the capabilities and richness of human thought. Good luck to all girlthings in these trying times, and remember that a doll still means more to someone than a MAU tally for Anthropic.

fucking nazi safety officers everywhere these days.

so, dude's a stalinist (and let me repeat myself) and dumb as fuck. i fucking love the totalitarian left, in so many aspects undistinguishable from any other type of totalitarian gobshite.

i'm all for abolishing copyright on the first day after we have introduced mechanisms that allow the artists to actually earn decent money from ther work taking into account the specifics of the work. and no, UBI doesn't count.

it is so nice to see the hard-mustachioed leftists to think that real labour happens only at a steel mill (because even kolkhozy aren't real enough for them to care about the freedom of movement of the peasants.)

If I hear 'get a computer job' one more time I'm going to start screaming. Boomers are deranged.

Nonsensical analogies are always improved by adding a chart with colorful boxes and arrows going between them. Of course, the burden of proof is on you, dear reader, to explain why the analogy doesn't make sense, not on the author to provide more justification than waving his hands really really hard.

Many of these analogies are bad as, I don't know, "Denmark and North Korea are the same because they both have governments" or something. Humans and LLMs both produce sequences of words, where the next word depends in some way on the previous words, so they are basically the same (and you can call this "predicting" the next word as a rhetorical flourish). Yeah, what a revolutionary concept, knowing that both humans and LLMs follow the laws of time and causality. And as we know, evolution "optimizes" for reproduction, and that's why there are only bacteria around (they can reproduce every 20 minutes). He has to be careful, these types of dumbass "optimization" interpretations of evolution that arose in the late 1800s led to horrible ideas about race science ... wait a minute ...

He isn't even trying with the yellow and orange boxes. What the fuck do "high-D toroidal attractor manifolds" and "6D helical manifolds" have to do with anything? Why are they there? And he really thinks he can get away with nobody closely reading his charts, with the "(???, nothing)" business. Maybe I should throw in that box in my publications and see how that goes.

I feel like his arguments rely on the Barnum effect. He makes statements like "humans and LLMs predict the next word" and "evolution optimizes for reproduction" that are so vague that they can be assigned whatever meaning he wants. Because of this, you can't easily dispel them (he just comes up with some different interpretation), and he can use them as carte blanche to justify whatever he wants.

sorry but i shave everything from the eyebrows down. i must remain buttery smooth to retain the optimal aerodynamic attributes

my apologies, i tend to visually stereotype stalinists very badly.

Kolmogorov complexity:

So we should see some proper definitions and basic results on the Kolmogorov complexity, like in modern papers, right? We should at least see a Kt or a pKt thrown in there, right?

Understanding IS compression — extracting structure from data. Optimal compression is uncomputable. Understanding is therefore always provisional, always improvable, never verifiably complete. This kills “stochastic parrot” from a second independent direction: if LLMs were memorizing rather than understanding, they could not generalize to inputs not in their training data. But they do. Generalization to novel input IS compression — extracting structure, not regurgitating sequences.

Fuck!

computer, print awawa.

somehow i think furries will be disqualified from the vanguard, so probably not

@lagrangeinterpolator can you understand without generalizing? arguably yes. can you generalize without understanding? also, arguably yes. how else can a mathematical theory of physics give “right answers” in novel physical circumstances?you could say, I suppose, that it’s the humans doing the calculations that are doing the generalization but one can do the calculations without understanding them.

How the frigg does anyone in the SF Bay Area in 2026 still believe that most of what big American web service companies do is driven by the profit motive? They are more like big-talking Geniuses getting a king to give them some money and promising they will make something cool (with Google's and Facebook's advertising and AWS and Amazon retail standing in for taxing millions of peasants). Arms like Google ads and Amazon Web Services fund billions of dollars of money-losing nonsense.

The AI-fication of K Street - https://www.opensecrets.org/news/2026/02/ai-lobbying-defense-industry/

@simonbp @BigMuffN69 @Amoeba_Girl According to the Animist's, everything is sapient to differing degree's. :D

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2026-02-25/fbi-raid-lausd-search-warrants h/t naked capitalism

Joanna Smith-Griffin, the founder and former chief executive of AllHere, was arrested in 2024 and charged with securities fraud, wire fraud and aggravated identity theft. By then, the envisioned LAUSD chatbot — known as “Ed” — had been withdrawn from service.

Ed was an artificial intelligence tool billed by Carvalho in August 2024 as revolutionary for students’ education and the interaction between LAUSD and the families it serves. The tool was never fully deployed.

“The indictment and the allegations represent, if true, a disturbing and disappointing house of cards that deceived and victimized many across the country,” Carvalho said at the time. “We will continue to assert and protect our rights.”

The indictment and collapse of AllHere was an embarrassment for Carvalho and the school system, but did not appear to represent a major financial exposure. The school system had spent about $3 million with the company for work completed as part of a contract originally worth up to $6 million over five years. By comparison, the district’s budget this year is $18.8 billion.

A former AllHere senior executive has accused the now-collapsed company of inadequate security measures. Even if that allegation is true, there has been no evidence of a related security breach affecting student or employee data.

We regularly have seven figure IT fiascoes in the LA public school system, so this one slipped under my radar. But, this sounds like one of those things where the Trump DOJ is doing the Right Thing for the Wrong Reasons...

https://www.adexchanger.com/daily-news-roundup/thursday-26022026/

According to GEO company BrightEdge, LLMs now rely on YouTube as a top source for citations – and that includes sponsored creator content.

LLMs favor YouTube because it’s “highly machine-readable,” with defined transcripts, metadata and chapters, Ómar Thor Ómarsson, CEO and co-founder of Optise, an AI platform that helps B2B companies improve search performance, tells Digiday.

Standard ad units on YouTube are labeled as such and, as a result, LLMs steer clear of them. But creators aren’t required to disclose their paid brand partnerships in video metadata, so AI considers them to be worthy sources.

BrightEdge’s research shows that YouTube is cited even more frequently than Reddit within Gemini and ChatGPT, and also shows up in 29.5% of Google AI Overviews. An audit conducted by media agency Brainlabs, meanwhile, suggests that YouTube shows up as a source in nearly 60% of AI Overviews.

So they already shipped ads in chatbots, transitively and accidentally. Can't wait to see NordVPN, Raid, and Mr Beast chocolate on every SERP.

E: I wonder if Altman is sneaky enough to hijack affiliate links a la honey

Should I be worried that this is on the bcachefs domain? I already don't use bcachefs for other reasons.

ProofOfConcept may not be sentient now, but once we figure out how to put programming socks on her, the +2 coding bonus will put her over the top.

I will say that Yogthos seems to be unique—the Marxist-Leninists I observe elsewhere seem to pretty much universally despise LLMs, and on the Red side of the fediverse his posting is usually met with confusion.

Mike Masnick coping about Bluesky (de) centralization again.

In a moment of weakness, I took the bait.

Didn't get banned yet, but here's hoping. He be mostly posting cringe lately anyway and my timeline could use some cleaning up.

He isn’t even trying with the yellow and orange boxes. What the fuck do “high-D toroidal attractor manifolds” and “6D helical manifolds” have to do with anything? Why are they there? And he really thinks he can get away with nobody closely reading his charts, with the “(???, nothing)” business. Maybe I should throw in that box in my publications and see how that goes.

It's from another horseshit analogy that roughly boils down to both neural net inference (specifically when generating end-of-line tokens) and aspects of specific biological components of human perception being somewhat geometrically modellable. I didn't include the entire context or a link to the substack in the OP because I didn't care to, but here is the analogy in full:

re: the bolded part, I like how explicitly cherry-picking neuroscience passes for peak rationalism.

Oh you should be extremely worried.

This somehow makes things even funnier. If he had any understanding of modern math, he would know that representing a set of things as points in some geometric space is one of the most common techniques in math. (A basic example: a pair of numbers can be represented by a point in 2D space.) Also, a manifold is an extremely broad geometric concept: knowing that two things are manifolds does not meant that they are the same or even remotely similar, without checking the details. There are tons of things you can model as a manifold if you try hard enough.

From what I see, Scoot read a paper modeling LLM inference with manifolds and thought "wow, cool!" Then he fished for neuroscience papers until he found one that modeled neurons using manifolds. Both of the papers have blah blah blah something something manifolds so there must be a deep connection!

(Maybe there is a deep connection! But the burden of proof is on him, and he needs to do a little more work than noticing that both papers use the word manifold.)

call out his confabulation machine usage, and the block will be quick

Jesus fucking christ I don't think I will ever get over how fucking dogshit the fucking rationalists are at epistemology

IT'S CALLED A FUCKING MAPPING. "MAP". AS IN NOT THE TERRITORY. IT'S IN THE NAME.

friend of a friend who works for meta was just ignoring the mandate to use ai. apparently this was happening enough that they've now implemented per character provenance tracing, and you get ranked according to how much AI is in your code

I mean the whole entire premise (not unique to this post, scoot's gotten a lot of mileage out of this) is shoehorning LLMs into the predictive coding framework mostly on the grounds that they both use prediction terminology and deal with work units that they call neurons, with the added bonus that PC posits Bayesian inference is involved so it's obviously extra valid.

Queue a few thousand words of scoot wearing his science popularizer hat and just declaring the most vacuous shit imaginable with a straight face and a friendly teacher's casual authority.

It's entirely possible he does get that it's a nothing burger but is just being his usual disingenuous self to pull people in.

@BigMuffN69 Cognitive science does not have a working definition for ‘intelligence’ or ‘sentience’. We can define ‘consciousness’ circularly in terms of GCS score, but that’s the same approach as defining intelligence in terms of its role in a Turing test.Anyone who claims to have a functional definition for any of these terms is trying to sell you something.When (if) this actually changes, it will be massive, significant world news.Until that time, it’s a useful metric for spotting con-artists and morons.

This concept has been bouncing around my head for a few weeks now but I've struggled to put it into words: the reason so many elites love AI is not because they think it will work, but because it offers them genuine utility as a rhetorical device. It's an always-applicable counterargument to criticisms that their plans or laws are unworkable. Like, some politician will propose a dumb law or some CEO will announce some absurd company policy and in the past they would get pushback, but now they just duct tape over all the cracks with "ahh, but we're using AI!".

The latest example of this I've seen is from the 3d printing subreddit - a few states are passing laws that would require the manufacturers of 3d printers to prevent the user from using them to print guns, and conversations on this seem to go thusly:

Anti: "A 3d printer doesn't know what the thing it's printing is, any more than a regular printer knows whether it's printing a recipe or a death threat. This can't work."

Pro: "We'll require manufacturers to install verification chips in their printers, then users will verify their 3d files using AI before printing."

Anti: "Putting aside for now the privacy concerns and the fact that this kind of DRM approach to force users to only use authorized files has been tried before and has literally never worked, how will the AI know if the 3d file is a gun or not?"

Pro: "I told you, we'll use AI!"

Anti: "...Even if you have some magical algorithm that can tell a 3d model is a working gun from first principles, it would be easy to bypass; a firearm isn't one descrete object, it's a mechanical device made up of components that are not dangerous by themselves. The user can always break the file up and print it one piece at a time."

Pro: "I told you, we'll use AI!"

Anti: "It doesn't matter how smart the AI is, it can't know by looking if a spring is part of a pistol magazine or part of a pen!"

Pro: "I told you, we'll use AI!"

Jonathan Hogg gives his two cents on gen-AI, pointing to high barriers to entry causing vibe-coding to explode:

We seem to have largely stopped innovating on trying to lower barriers to programming in favour of creating endless new frameworks and libraries for a vanishingly small number of near-identical languages. It is the mid-2020s and people are wringing their hands over Rust as if it was some inexplicable new thing rather than a C-derivative that incorporates decades old type theory. You know what I consider to be genuinely ground-breaking programming tools? VisiCalc, HyperCard and Scratch.

You know what? HyperCard was a glorious moment in time that I dearly miss: an army of non-experts were bashing together and sharing weird and wonderful stacks that were part 'zine, part adventure game and part database. Instead of laughing at vibe-coders, maybe we should ask ourselves why the current state-of-the-art in beginner-friendly programming tools is a planet-boiling roulette wheel.

(Adding my two cents, Adobe Flash filled the same role as HyperCard in the '00s, providing the public an easy(ish) way to get into programming, and providing an outlet for many an aspirating animator and gamedev.)

bad at epistemology

Gwern once denied chaos theory in a way that Freeman Dyson called out in 1985, and as LessWrongers go he is a pretty clear thinker!