Link: https://www.cardsagainsthumanity.com/elonhasnofriends

Today, we’re announcing the Official Elon Musk is a Sad Little Bitch with No Friends Monument Design Committee. For just $10, you can join a movement of like-minded people working together to force a moment of introspection upon the world’s richest, ugliest little bitch.

Is there any way to make the monument noisy as fuck and wildly carcinogenic for those living nearby?

So... a noisy cybertruck?

A statue of someone putting their whole head up their own ass would be good

wildly carcinogenic

Background noise for Texas.

I'm just gonna start fucking downvoting censors

A meme almost as old as the Internet, yet still worthy of Musk:

I'm thinking more like tungsten carbide wind chimes with a plutonium-gallium core in each chime. It could flash blue.

Donated.

How about something visible from space so it shows up when flown over and more importantly, when satellite maps are updated.

Grasses / trees planted in a shape or phrase would be cool.

According to the Lancet reckless indiscriminate cuts to USAID is directly responsible for 14 million deaths.

I thought a limp starship would be cool

Every time I think of Musky, I always think about the time Musky got bullied off the internet. Always cheers me up.

Who wants to fuck with Elon Musk?

Kalshi odds are saying most people think Elon's hoping for the answer to be "children."

Who cares what a shitty gambling site "says"?

You seem to have missed the joke.

You screwed your joke by unnecessarily attaching it to a brand and making it look like an ad.

Or it was a simple layered joke making fun of both Elon's pedophilia and that things that fucked up are actually allowed on those shit gambling sites.

settle down yall

Elon Musk is a fucking Theseist

Cards Against Humanity might as well be run by the Onion.

CAH and The Onion are bound to have a merger one of these days.

"gambling"

Which is why when we are only confiscating entire fortunes from some families, and imprisoning them for their crimes, Musk will suffer a far worse fate.

There are so many psychos in America, hard to pick one. I would rather send Sam Altman a message, I believe he is the sickest of all of them.

That's wild. Sam Altman sucks but he's tame compared to others

Well, it's the aggregated opinion of people who use the site. Kalshi doesn't set the price; people making the bets set the price based on the odds others are willing to accept.

There's a sampling bias for sure, but since the odds given for this bet are based on how much people are willing to pay for that bet, this gives a very good approximation for how people actually feel about something.

It actually ends up being more reliable than most opinion polls in that way.

I think you haven't heard the interview where he talks about the "suicide" of one of his employees:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suchir_Balaji

Watch this interview:

https://www.reddit.com/r/OpenAI/comments/1o9ewpv/sam_altman_discusses_the_mysterious_death_of_his/

I didn't say he wasn't evil. But Peter Thiel exists.

In my opinion, Musk is so worthless, that he doesn't deserve any sort of monument or anything of that sort. I've known so many losers! Do they get a monument? Naaah, they're just the butt of gossip and that's the end of it.

I know Musk is more damaging, but stuff like this is excessively ineffective at changing anything.

If you want public art, we can actually fund timeless art.

Unfortunately Sam Altman didn't try to steal CAH's land.

Besides the fact they nobody knows what is being done behind the scenes to ensure results are (or aren't) fair, using a sample of individuals that are all attempting to play the system against each other deeply and irreparably biases the data.

On top of that, jokes like the one I responded to and comments like yours only serve to legitimize a "service" thats sole purpose is to squeeze every penny from its users. It doesn't provide anything beneficial to anyone but its owners.

If the contract isn't something that meets the criteria for an efficient market, then yeah, it's not something that can be used to give reasonable probabilities.

But for something like, winner of the democratic presidential primary, or the proce of gold in a month... then it's genuinely a better predictive model than what a statistician would be able to come up with.

It doesn't provide anything beneficial to anyone but its owners.

For statistics purposes, it gives me something incredibly beneficial. Simply by knowing the price of a contract, I can know with decent accuracy how likely something is to happen.

If you're not in the field, you wouldn't necessarily appreciate how valuable that is.

it’s genuinely a better predictive model than what a statistician would be able to come up with

OK, let's see the evidence for that assertion.

Simply by knowing the price of a contract, I can know with decent accuracy how likely something is to happen.

A retrospective analysis of the contract prices versus actual outcomes would also be needed. Otherwise, all you're seeing is an opinion poll conducted on a self-selected sample of people unusually prone to being greedheads. And you have no idea of the mechanisms that shape that market.

OK, let's see the evidence for that assertion.

Using prediction markets to estimate the reproducibility of scientific research - PMC

There's one.

But obviously it's not a guarantee if you don't know what you're doing. We also have documentation on where these methods fall short, such as when it's based on exponential growth, rare events, or something else that humans are bad at understanding.
Infectious Disease Forecasting.

But again, good statisticians are prepared to address those things.

And you have no idea of the mechanisms that shape that market.

That's even better. If I don't understand the mechanisms shaping the market, I won't be able to correctly identify predictive variables for my model. In that case, I would be better off trusting the prediction market.

Obviously it would be better if the person building the model understood the mechanisms... but that takes time and money. If you're managing 30 models, that might not be worth it.