Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benner%27s_cycle

For the most part the predicted market peaks and troughs are pretty accurate. This is more of a statistical analysis (using past numbers to predict future behavior) than a Nostradamus getting high and pulling predictions out of his ass.

But still, there's a degree of confirmation bias influencing the believers (and conversely instinctive skepticism affecting doubters) that come into okay.

Either way, I think it's an interesting tidbit from the past.

I think most of the models work well as long everyone believes in them and nobody tries to exploit them.

certainly got 2026 wrong.

The pig cycle? That's what I learned it was called.

But was bang on for 2019

which it should not be able to predict given its a plague.

I would say the banking crisis of 2019 right before COVID counts.

Are you sure about that? I don't really follow stock markets, but from the news I gather a lot of people are making a lot of money. Mostly from inside trading, but the cycle says nothing about ethics.

yeah I was kinda thinking about that. does not necessarily say healthy market.

2008 too