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Don’t short (or long) a manipulated market. If you’re not the manipulator, you’re the target.
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Sibshops lemmy.myserv.one Sibshops@lemmy.myserv.one
Joined: 2025-06-04
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I’m often told, “If you think Bitcoin is a bad investment, why don’t you short it?”
The answer is simple: it's a bad idea to short a manipulated market.

Bitcoin trades in an unregulated environment, which makes it easy for large players like whales or exchanges to move the market in ways that benefit them. If too many people go short or long, it's common for the market to move just enough to liquidate those positions.

This isn't a hypothetical. It happens regularly, sometimes with extreme outcomes. For example, a flash crash on BitMEX dropped Bitcoin to $8.9K in March 2024:

🔗 https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/03/19/bitcoin-flash-crashed-to-89k-on-bitmex

Here's a basic example of how a whale or exchange could profit by forcing liquidations:

  1. Open a large short position at $60K
  2. Sell a huge amount of BTC to drive the price down to $30K
  3. Liquidated longs crash the price further to $8K
  4. Close the short at the bottom and walk away with a profit

The reverse works too. If too many traders go short, price can be pumped just high enough to wipe them out, then dumped again.

This is why it's risky to short or long in a market where the biggest players can see your leverage, control liquidity, and benefit directly from your losses.

Don’t short a manipulated market. If you’re not the manipulator, you’re the target.

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