https://redlib.catsarch.com/r/stupidpol/comments/1sh2rzn/the_insurgent_empire_and_trashcanistans/
There's some decent points here, especially wrt to how this changes the field for proliferation, but he's also taking US claims about the effectiveness of the air campaign at face value. It wasn't nearly as accurate or effective as claimed against unprotected goat herders and rice farmers, and now we're expected to believe it's seriously degraded the militarystate capability of a country that's been preparing for this exact kind of offensive for decades? I just don't buy it.
I'm sure the US has hit everything the US considers doctrinally important, but Iran uses an entirely different doctrine to guide their military strategy and that's already caught the US off guard, it's like they can't imagine anyone would think to fight another way.
I generally like Serges' writing too, his histories of naval warfare and manouver warfare are fascinating and worth a sub just to binge read, but his rightoid tendencies have affected his coverage of Iran.